Improbable-Hire
0xbc3107551d71e0fe3821b4ec4bb2767d313e971f
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
165
Open notional
$3.2K
Total PnL
$-36.3K
Realised
$-24.73
Win rate
36%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 165- YES
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
73121 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$987.13
$329.04
- ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
2498 shares @ 50.8¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 12, 2026$936.75
$-333.32
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5400 shares @ 5.5¢·now 9.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$488.70
$191.70
- KNICKS
Knicks vs. Spurs
1000 shares @ 36.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$355.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
17402 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$321.94
$-42.36
- YES
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
14300 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$92.95
$-7.15
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
40 shares @ 53.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$26.59
$5.40
- SEATTLE MARINERS
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox
4679 shares @ 55.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.6K
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
4100 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-20.50
- NEW YORK YANKEES
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers
3800 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$5.63Jun 13, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.16Jun 13, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.06Jun 13, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.03Jun 13, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.09Jun 13, 05:54 UTC
- REDEEMHouston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals$2.0KJun 13, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMArizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds$2.0KJun 13, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMTexas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox$900.00Jun 13, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMDetroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians$2.0KJun 13, 01:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLDetroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians$1.0KJun 12, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLTexas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox$117.84Jun 12, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds$1.0KJun 12, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLAtlanta Braves vs. New York Mets$905.10Jun 12, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians$1.6KJun 12, 22:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.42Jun 12, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.40Jun 12, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.23Jun 12, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals$1.1KJun 12, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.45Jun 12, 15:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $337.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 09:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.