Ironclad-Clave
0xbc3a7d0632da87647f8eafe9415617733c855ffe
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$105.05
Total PnL
$-17.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
105 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$105.05
$0.05
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?
975 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on February 4?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on February 3?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 2?
557 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
400 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-5.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
350 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 58-59°F on May 3?
338 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on April 5?
309 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 29m and 31m?
253 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$105.01Jun 4, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?$104.31Jun 1, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?$104.02Jun 1, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?$104.10May 23, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?$104.00May 22, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?$104.10May 20, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?$104.01May 19, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China on May 11, 2026?$104.10May 12, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 11, 2026?$104.00May 9, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 8?$104.10May 9, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 8?$104.01May 7, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$103.83May 7, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$103.00May 4, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on May 3?$32.03May 4, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on May 2?$71.07May 4, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on May 2?$71.00May 2, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 58-59°F on May 3?$1.05May 2, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on May 3?$32.00May 2, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on April 28?$0.00May 2, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 28?$0.00May 2, 03:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $68.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 12:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 09:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".