Gloomy-Frigate
0xbc998383c7397ae62e7f7c738047617e4c2dae7a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
60
Open notional
$111.17
Total PnL
$36.06
Realised
$0.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?
20 shares @ 12.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.20
$7.80
- YES
Will Spotify reach 1 billion total users in 2026?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$9.25
$4.25
- YES
Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?
22 shares @ 12.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.25
$5.61
- NO
Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by December 31, 2026?
22 shares @ 19.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.04
$2.86
- YES
Ryan Wedding arrested by June 30?
5 shares @ 6.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.99
$4.69
- YES
Will Russia enter Stavky by June 30?
22 shares @ 19.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.73
$0.55
- YES
Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by July 31?
22 shares @ 15.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.73
$1.43
- YES
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
22 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.85
$-0.11
- NO
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?
3 shares @ 5.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.17
$3.00
- NO
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.00
$2.03
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day$10.34Jun 13, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMUS Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?$0.00Jun 13, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Charli XCX announce a new album by July 31?$0.00Jun 13, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO: Open Price above IPO Price?$0.00Jun 13, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce an acquisition of part of the Chagos Islands before 2027? $0.20Jun 11, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spotify reach 1 billion total users in 2026?$5.00Jun 11, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?$1.80Jun 11, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?$0.15Jun 10, 03:56 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?$5.50Jun 9, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?$3.92Jun 9, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026?$4.50Jun 9, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Open Price above IPO Price?$3.30Jun 9, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?$2.42Jun 9, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day$4.18Jun 9, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?$3.30Jun 9, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Stavky by June 30?$4.18Jun 6, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDA approves Viridian Therapeutics' Veligrotug?$0.40Jun 4, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYJoe Rogan joins 60 Minutes by June 30?$2.76Jun 4, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?$0.97Jun 3, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMEvo Morales arrested by May 31?$0.00Jun 1, 08:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $2.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 09:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 15:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.