Limited-Conflict
0xbc9a4ca539dc0172130514f7734b88e547467369
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$67.73
Total PnL
$-36.74
Realised
$-4.87
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?
13 shares @ 77.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$11.49
$1.49
- YES
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$10.29
$0.29
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
17 shares @ 59.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$10.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
16 shares @ 64.1¢·now 64.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$10.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$9.78
$-0.22
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$5.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$4.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$4.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4AM ET
3065 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$0.00Jun 12, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$5.20Jun 12, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$5.20Jun 12, 10:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET$5.45Jun 12, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET$5.19Jun 12, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$5.32Jun 12, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on June 11?$1.67Jun 11, 23:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$14.49Jun 11, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win on 2026-06-10?$6.25Jun 10, 22:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12PM ET$1.71Jun 10, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12PM ET$5.23Jun 10, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12PM ET$5.43Jun 10, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12PM ET$5.15Jun 10, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12PM ET$5.15Jun 10, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12PM ET$5.17Jun 10, 15:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET$4.79Jun 10, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET$5.21Jun 10, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$0.63Jun 10, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$5.35Jun 10, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET$6.71Jun 10, 15:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $4.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 15:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 10:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.