Thoughtful-Scimitar
0xbca69be5edef416ba701f9a3a2983efdf58273e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$6.1K
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$741.81
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?
5000 shares @ 40.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.1K
$75.00
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
2574 shares @ 42.3¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.3K
$224.18
- NO
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 75.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$694.90
$-55.10
- NO
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?
1198 shares @ 40.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$569.07
$89.85
- YES
Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch?
3697 shares @ 8.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$536.07
$240.31
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1070 shares @ 50.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$476.22
$-58.86
- NO
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?
692 shares @ 46.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$318.15
$0.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$55.00
$-1.9K
- YES
Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?
3281 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$26.25
$-49.33
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
7926 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$19.82
$-376.49
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.57Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$3.33Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?$194.01Jun 12, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$197.40Jun 12, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?$4.99Jun 12, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?$198.20Jun 12, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$196.80Jun 12, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?$11.73Jun 12, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$51.06Jun 12, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$38.25Jun 12, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$3.24Jun 12, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$64.00Jun 12, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$2.80Jun 12, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$34.17Jun 12, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$14.05Jun 12, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$21.95Jun 12, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?$129.91Jun 12, 13:09 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$5.24Jun 12, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 12, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $58.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 10:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.