Cambria FDV above $70M one day after launch?
Probability
27¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$5.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
+2.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 14771h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 39.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 14771.0h
- 18:01SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 14771h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 27¢.
Biggest hourly move: +5.5pp at 02:00 (to 30¢).
Show all 12 hour-by-hour ticks
- 03:00 · +4.5pp → 29¢
- 02:00 · +5.5pp → 30¢
- 01:00 · +4.0pp → 29¢
- 21:00 · -3.5pp → 22¢
- 2d ago · +4.0pp → 28¢
- 3d ago · +3.5pp → 28¢
- 3d ago · +3.0pp → 28¢
- 3d ago · +3.0pp → 27¢
- 3d ago · +3.0pp → 27¢
- 3d ago · +3.5pp → 28¢
- 3d ago · +4.5pp → 28¢
- 3d ago · +3.5pp → 27¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Cambria's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2028
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- using the total token supply multiplied by the token priceAmbiguous wordingextracted · lowx.com
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (39.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.