Sunny-Nougat
0xbcbd1a8fdae6e8ff4fd8209860d19090725a6a91
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$0.17
Total PnL
$-35.36
Realised
$20.64
Win rate
100%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.05
$-0.15
- YES
Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
59 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.03
$-0.09
- YES
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
50 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.03
$-0.17
- YES
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
50 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.03
$-0.13
- YES
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
30 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.01
$-0.16
- YES
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
30 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.01
$-0.20
- YES
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
30 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.01
$-0.10
- YES
Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
218 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.34
- YES
Will paiN Gaming win PGL Wallachia Season 8?
100 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.33
- YES
Will GamerLegion win PGL Wallachia Season 8?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill "Katsuki Bakugo (My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON)" win Best Anime Supporting Character at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$1.25Apr 27, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethena reach $0.16 in April?$0.20Apr 26, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamenei post 5-9 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$0.63Apr 26, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$2.48Apr 26, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Natus Vincere win LEC 2026 Spring?$1.41Apr 25, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamenei post 5-9 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$0.48Apr 25, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$2.00Apr 25, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Natus Vincere win LEC 2026 Spring?$0.48Apr 25, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Natus Vincere win LEC 2026 Spring?$0.43Apr 25, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?$3.80Apr 25, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei post 10-14 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$10.20Apr 25, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethena reach $0.16 in April?$0.80Apr 25, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$0.28Apr 25, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Katsuki Bakugo (My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON)" win Best Anime Supporting Character at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$0.75Apr 24, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamenei post 25-29 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$20.03Apr 24, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill paiN Gaming win PGL Wallachia Season 8?$1.10Apr 24, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 15-19 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$0.16Apr 23, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 15-19 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$0.11Apr 23, 08:55 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.51Apr 23, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill paiN Gaming win PGL Wallachia Season 8?$0.32Apr 22, 10:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 21:45 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.