Will paiN Gaming win PGL Wallachia Season 8?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-10.3pp
24h Vol
$902.84
Liquidity
$1.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
-0.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 10pp over 24h
Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 7h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $1.6k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Expiry in 7h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 7 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 00:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 7.0h
- 17:01SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 7h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.1pp
to 0¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.1pp
to 0¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.1pp
to 0¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 0¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 5¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.4pp
to 6¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.3pp
to 7¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.9pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.3pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.2pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.9pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.6pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.7pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.9pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.3pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.3pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 4¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the PGL Wallachia Season 8 tournament, currently scheduled for April 16th - April 26th, 2026. If this tournament is postponed, canceled, or a winner has not been declared by May 3rd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, PGL (pglesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/dota2/PGL/Wallachia/8) may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · mediumliquipedia.net
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.