Quarterly-Ketch
0xbcca5cae6c93da54f5a5fd0ce62667f958d3da80
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
78
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-6.89
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- PENGUINS
Penguins vs. Predators
221 shares @ 54.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
- UNDER
Clippers vs. Mavericks: O/U 219.5
206 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-99.01
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 14?
200 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-8.42
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 15?
200 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.80
- NO
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil by November 30?
170 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-79.90
- YES
Will Keir Starmer say "Footing" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
129 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-22.31
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?
100 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- OVER
Stade Brestois 29 vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5
79 shares @ 62.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on November 28, 2025?
70 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-8.40
- CANADIENS
Stars vs. Canadiens
70 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-37.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?$0.38Dec 24, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$3.24Dec 24, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$6.30Dec 24, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?$7.28Dec 24, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$15.83Dec 24, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$10.15Dec 12, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMBayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5$32.79Dec 11, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)$9.95Dec 10, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Lakers (-4.5)$8.08Dec 10, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5$20.00Dec 10, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$9.54Dec 6, 04:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?$11.69Dec 6, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Orwell: 2+2=5 be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?$14.84Dec 6, 03:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by June 2026?$18.30Dec 6, 03:49 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$18.60Dec 6, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$29.05Dec 6, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?$35.50Dec 6, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Tariff" 13+ times during December press conference?$36.85Dec 6, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?$40.05Dec 6, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMStade Brestois 29 vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5$0.00Dec 6, 03:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $26.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 09:28 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 24, 18:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".