Wry-Deviance
0xbccabead3dc380281087389215c34047254e3e77
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$319.98
Total PnL
$-53.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
81 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$80.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
71 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$70.18
$0.18
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
62 shares @ 97.1¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$60.49
$0.49
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
22 shares @ 93.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$21.09
$1.09
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
235 shares @ 9.8¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$20.59
$-2.41
- NO
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
20 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$20.12
$0.12
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
20 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$20.05
$0.05
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
22 shares @ 93.0¢·now 79.1¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$17.01
$-2.99
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
68 shares @ 8.6¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.61
$-0.24
- YES
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.72
$-0.28
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$70.21Jun 5, 18:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$50.56Jun 5, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$40.98Jun 5, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$40.25Jun 5, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$50.66Jun 5, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$10.01Jun 5, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$20.03Jun 5, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$80.04Jun 5, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$60.05Jun 5, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$40.06Jun 5, 02:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$90.00Jun 5, 02:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$96.00Jun 4, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on June 3?$30.03Jun 4, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be 59°F or below on June 3?$40.04Jun 4, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$80.00Jun 4, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$80.00Jun 4, 00:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$1.15Jun 4, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $52.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 00:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 18:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".