Same-Business
0xbccb07ed8168d7f99012230efa07245720936d3a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$512.50
Total PnL
$-14.0K
Realised
$-1.0K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
5000 shares @ 10.3¢·now 10.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$512.50
$-2.50
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
48908 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.1K
- YES
MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?
19499 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2024$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?
14672 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-235.16
- YES
Ethereum ETF begins trading by July 4?
11822 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2024$0.00
$-258.41
- YES
Will the HBO documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?
7349 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-237.78
- YES
Will Hyperliquid not launch a token in 2024?
6567 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-909.80
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
5881 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Erling Haaland: 3+ goals
5559 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-632.57
- YES
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score
4430 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-516.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$538.10Jul 22, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals$412.84Jul 19, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 2+ goals$313.65Jul 19, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$104.82Jul 19, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$112.50Jul 14, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$138.25Jul 14, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$25.00Jul 14, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$1.66Jul 14, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBreel Embolo: 1+ assists$0.01Jul 7, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score$1.19Jul 7, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score$1.08Jul 7, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score$0.30Jul 7, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score$0.55Jul 7, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score$0.60Jul 7, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score$1.73Jul 7, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score$12.92Jul 7, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score$0.15Jul 7, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score$1.48Jul 7, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score$25.71Jul 7, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score$46.20Jul 7, 21:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $66.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 21:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 11:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.