Tan-Server
0xbd0477e08d82d35a855ff19644a88a9213d8fbb0
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
172
Open notional
$45.3K
Total PnL
$-95.5K
Realised
$136.9K
Win rate
71%
79 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 172- YES
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
234914 shares @ 9.2¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.2K
$-12.4K
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
12087 shares @ 56.1¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.1K
$-683.32
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
31610 shares @ 16.9¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.3K
$-1.1K
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
4382 shares @ 26.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.1K
$3.0K
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
2708 shares @ 46.4¢·now 96.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.6K
$1.3K
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
4555 shares @ 36.9¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.4K
$757.70
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
61506 shares @ 18.6¢·now 4.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.4K
$-9.0K
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
2692 shares @ 49.8¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$2.1K
$718.34
- YES
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
37967 shares @ 10.6¢·now 3.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.4K
$-2.6K
- YES
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?
1298 shares @ 51.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.3K
$629.55
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$3.0KJun 20, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$307.67Jun 20, 03:56 UTC
- REWARD$3.26Jun 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$1.2KJun 19, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$1.0KJun 19, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$523.57Jun 19, 07:47 UTC
- MERGEUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$800.00Jun 19, 07:10 UTC
- MERGEUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$4.1KJun 19, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$54.95Jun 19, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$0.13Jun 19, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$10.20Jun 19, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$1.1KJun 19, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$43.12Jun 19, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$263.09Jun 19, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$76.50Jun 19, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$2.55Jun 19, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$115.47Jun 19, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$6.91Jun 19, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$52.00Jun 19, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$78.00Jun 19, 06:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$5.6K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 12, 19:20 UTC → Jun 12, 19:15 UTC
- BUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.6K@11¢Jun 12, 19:15 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
73/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
71% win rate over 79 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
79 closed markets, 71% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$5.6K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
$5.6K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $200.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 01:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 06:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 79 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.