Long-Term-Overhead
0xbd14da5083afdef8518339c2c1b7b19a491576b4
Quality score
74/100
Open positions
26
Open notional
$494.06
Total PnL
$-35.13
Realised
$-31.69
Win rate
20%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?
80 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$72.40
$-0.40
- YES
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
234 shares @ 20.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.53
$-1.17
- NO
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
114 shares @ 39.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$43.86
$-0.57
- YES
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
65 shares @ 64.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$41.22
$-0.32
- NO
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
44 shares @ 85.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.75
$-0.66
- YES
Will Bilibili Gaming win LPL 2026 Split 2?
70 shares @ 49.6¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$33.81
$-0.80
- NO
Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
116 shares @ 18.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$21.46
$0.58
- NO
Will BP be acquired before 2027?
27 shares @ 80.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.45
$-0.13
- NO
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
31 shares @ 67.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$21.41
$0.31
- YES
Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
24 shares @ 82.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$19.72
$-0.12
Recent activity
- TRADESELLOpenAI IPO before 2027?$38.8720m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?$72.8056m ago
- TRADESELLSpain snap election called by June 30, 2026?$71.2057m ago
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$1.201h ago
- TRADEBUYSpain snap election called by June 30, 2026?$72.001h ago
- TRADESELLWill Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$1.782h ago
- TRADESELLSpread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)$63.312h ago
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$1.432h ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$1.512h ago
- TRADESELLWill there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$6.404h ago
- TRADESELLWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$19.835h ago
- TRADESELLRepublicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?$1.346h ago
- TRADESELLWill GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?$0.549h ago
- TRADESELLWill Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$30.349h ago
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$6.549h ago
- TRADESELLInsurrection Act invoked by December 31?$5.349h ago
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$1.479h ago
- TRADESELLInsurrection Act invoked by December 31?$13.779h ago
- TRADEBUYInsurrection Act invoked by December 31?$5.579h ago
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$0.789h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $43.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 15h ago
- Last active
- 20m ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.