Long-Term-Overhead
0xbd14da5083afdef8518339c2c1b7b19a491576b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-232.92
Realised
$-219.85
Win rate
36%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
155 shares @ 83.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$127.88
$-0.78
- NO
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
163 shares @ 75.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$119.81
$-2.44
- NO
Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
141 shares @ 81.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$112.54
$-1.41
- NO
Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June?
114 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$101.75
$-1.14
- YES
Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $2.5B?
112 shares @ 86.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$97.54
$1.12
- NO
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
104 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$95.39
$-0.52
- NO
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?
107 shares @ 81.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$84.72
$-1.60
- YES
Will Rayan Cherki score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
112 shares @ 65.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$71.68
$-1.12
- NO
Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?
251 shares @ 29.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$71.51
$-1.28
- NO
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?
79 shares @ 83.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$64.45
$-1.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MagicBlock launch a token by December 31, 2026?$27.39Jun 14, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027?$140.01Jun 14, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027?$143.84Jun 14, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?$20.00Jun 14, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$44.88Jun 14, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christian Pulisic score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.52Jun 14, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30?$26.43Jun 14, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30?$28.34Jun 14, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$44.88Jun 14, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?$12.92Jun 14, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?$17.68Jun 14, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?$310.10Jun 14, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?$367.22Jun 14, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals?$48.60Jun 14, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by July 31?$247.40Jun 14, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals?$20.75Jun 14, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals?$12.72Jun 14, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shohei Ohtani lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?$4.68Jun 14, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals?$95.30Jun 14, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals?$99.91Jun 14, 07:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $87.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 03:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 09:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.