Educated-Form
0xbd1a51a2bd06e3ddc017c10af5f2880ebfe15375
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$12.24
Total PnL
$-9.48
Realised
$-0.73
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?
417 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by June 30?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 5.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.58
$0.58
- YES
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$1.03Jun 11, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYGustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?$5.00Jun 10, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by June 30?$1.04Jun 9, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.04Jun 9, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.04Jun 9, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.04Jun 9, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.04Jun 9, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.04Jun 9, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.04Jun 9, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.04Jun 9, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.04Jun 9, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.04Jun 9, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.04Jun 9, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.04Jun 9, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.04Jun 9, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$253.01Jun 8, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$140.44Jun 7, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$109.20Jun 1, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$29.22May 31, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$61.22May 31, 20:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $16.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 21:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 20:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.