Close-Turnover
0xbd2182a67f7b46f91b2a6a7b81c464a580dc007a
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$87.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$118.44
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
600 shares @ 57.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$87.00
$-255.00
- NO
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?
896 shares @ 90.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-811.88
- NO
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
700 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-37.00
- YES
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?
400 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
291 shares @ 68.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
200 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- ARSENAL FC
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
171 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-111.15
- NO
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?
168 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-100.67
- YES
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?
148 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
111 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-51.11
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$135.70Feb 4, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$1.49Jan 17, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$20.00Jan 17, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$200.00Jan 17, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$6.50Jan 17, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$7.67Jan 14, 09:56 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$35.00Jan 14, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$35.00Jan 14, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$35.00Jan 14, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$20.00Jan 14, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$25.00Jan 14, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$20.00Jan 14, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$45.00Jan 14, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$11.82Jan 14, 08:51 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$297.48Jan 13, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$11.25Jan 7, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$13.60Jan 7, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$25.00Jan 6, 23:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$9.35Jan 6, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Jan 6, 08:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $103.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 11:51 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 4, 14:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.