Natural-Infiltration-Endpoint
0xbd4df8be2afd32876e684495a7f4b6dc3fa4c0a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$20.19
Total PnL
$-40.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 18?
4 shares @ 70.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$3.69
$0.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 16?
6 shares @ 54.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$3.06
$0.06
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 16?
3 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 16, 2026$3.05
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 18?
3 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$2.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 18?
3 shares @ 92.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$2.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
4 shares @ 84.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 17?
8 shares @ 36.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.54
$-1.46
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 16?
4 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.01
$-2.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 14?
25 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?
19 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on May 16?$3.11May 16, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 16?$3.67May 16, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 18?$3.01May 16, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 18?$3.04May 16, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 18?$3.01May 16, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 17?$3.10May 16, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 16?$4.19May 16, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 15?$0.01May 16, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 16?$3.03May 15, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 16?$3.04May 15, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 16?$3.00May 15, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 16?$3.03May 15, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 16?$3.07May 15, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on May 16?$3.01May 15, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 15?$0.00May 15, 23:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 15?$3.16May 15, 23:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 15?$3.80May 15, 23:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 15?$5.52May 15, 23:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 15?$5.58May 15, 23:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 15?$3.13May 15, 21:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $3.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 00:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 06:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".