0xbd565aa8479c5891f44e9da7a7f6ea899a876fe5
0xbd565aa8479c5891f44e9da7a7f6ea899a876fe5
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$12.40
Total PnL
$-3.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
3 shares @ 61.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$2.39
$0.53
- NO
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $150 Week of July 27 2026?
3 shares @ 61.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.04
$0.18
- YES
Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings?
4 shares @ 55.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.73
$-0.23
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
8 shares @ 26.2¢·now 20.6¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.58
$-0.42
- YES
Will Robinhood (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?
2 shares @ 76.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.57
$0.03
- NO
Will Warsh say "Tax" during July Press Conference?
2 shares @ 72.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.56
$0.10
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
3 shares @ 50.2¢·now 50.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.53
$-0.00
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Boeing say "Guidance" during earnings call?
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$1.89Jul 28, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $150 Week of July 27 2026?$1.89Jul 27, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Boeing say "Guidance" during earnings call?$1.93Jul 27, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in July?$3.00Jul 27, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings?$2.00Jul 27, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Tax" during July Press Conference?$1.48Jul 26, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in July?$1.44Jul 26, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$1.57Jul 25, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Shots fired" or "Shots will be fired" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$0.00Jul 25, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$2.07Jul 25, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$0.00Jul 24, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Shots fired" or "Shots will be fired" during White House Correspondents Dinner?$2.06Jul 24, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$3.00Jul 24, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robinhood (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?$1.56Jul 24, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of July 20 2026?$3.00Jul 23, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$1.33Jul 23, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$0.00Jul 23, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$2.00Jul 23, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?$0.00Jul 23, 01:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during remarks in Georgia?$2.03Jul 22, 22:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $1.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 14:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 13:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.