Bewitched-Nonconformist
0xbd5aab86a967232112be9a1edcd0482693d4166f
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$129.74
Total PnL
$-827.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1538 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$79.23
$-0.77
- GERMANY
Spread: Germany (-3.5)
102 shares @ 49.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$50.51
$0.51
- NO
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?
189 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- ARSENAL FC
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
129 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?
121 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- ATALANTA BC
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
102 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?
102 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-22?
100 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?
94 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- CRYSTAL PALACE FC
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)
91 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$80.65Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$106.41Jun 13, 03:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$49.79Jun 12, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$50.57Jun 12, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-3.5)$50.76Jun 12, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Mexico (-2.5)$0.00Jun 12, 08:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$71.43Jun 11, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Mexico (-2.5)$20.49Jun 11, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$50.45Jun 11, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$82.28Jun 11, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame$30.30May 28, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame$10.20May 28, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Jaime Faria$10.18May 28, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayern Munich win DFB-Pokal?$69.81May 28, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win DFB-Pokal?$50.00Apr 20, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-04?$122.56Apr 4, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?$20.00Apr 4, 15:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $53.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 17:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.