Creepy-Risk
0xbd82adfa564929f59e2de6b883de6dbf82f430e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$35.48
Total PnL
$0.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on February 2?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$9.01
$0.01
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?
8 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$8.13
$0.13
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
6 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.16
$0.16
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on February 2?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$5.00
$0.01
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.17
$0.17
- NO
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
3 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on February 2?$5.00Feb 1, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.00Feb 1, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?$8.00Feb 1, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $140 on February 2?$9.00Feb 1, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMInfinex FDV above $4B one day after launch?$3.01Feb 1, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.20 in January?$5.00Feb 1, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?$5.68Feb 1, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 19?$8.01Feb 1, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on January 19?$9.01Feb 1, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.20 in January?$5.00Jan 18, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 19?$8.00Jan 18, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?$4.00Jan 18, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYInfinex FDV above $4B one day after launch?$3.00Jan 18, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on January 19?$9.00Jan 18, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$6.00Jan 18, 21:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?$1.05Jan 18, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on December 23?$3.00Jan 18, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$3.01Jan 18, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.00 on December 23?$5.00Jan 18, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?$6.05Jan 18, 21:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $6.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 12:12 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 1, 18:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.