Grateful-Acrylic
0xbd9e2a1ddc5f949edd5a1168ec2fd75f783a6872
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
122
Open notional
$6.47
Total PnL
$-139.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 122- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
19 shares @ 5.3¢·now 11.2¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.10
$1.10
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
8 shares @ 12.2¢·now 14.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.56
$-0.44
- YES
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
17 shares @ 5.8¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.51
$-0.49
- YES
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
17 shares @ 5.8¢·now 2.3¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$0.39
$-0.61
- NO
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.37
$-0.63
- YES
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
11 shares @ 9.3¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.23
$-0.77
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?
15 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.08
$-0.92
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.07Jun 14, 06:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $1.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.