Troubled-Grouse
0xbdab1601bc382845c78bf211899d8a30dc8c47a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$248.85
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
100 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$100.00
$3.60
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 96.9¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$98.85
$1.95
- NO
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?
50 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$50.00
$0.40
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 47-48°F on November 27?
3800 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-11.40
- MAVERICKS
Mavericks vs. Heat
2650 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-662.50
- WIZARDS
Wizards vs. Raptors
2200 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-264.00
- YES
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?
850 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-450.50
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
320 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
130 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.81
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?
100 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?$49.60May 18, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$96.40Apr 25, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$4.80Apr 7, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$96.90Apr 7, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$90.00Apr 7, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMCrude Oil all time high by March 31?$110.00Apr 7, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil all time high by March 31?$97.90Mar 16, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$80.73Feb 20, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$60.00Feb 20, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMInsurrection Act invoked by January 31?$100.00Feb 20, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYInsurrection Act invoked by January 31?$94.00Jan 21, 13:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?$35.00Jan 21, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$52.02Jan 4, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $10.00Jan 4, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: December$70.00Jan 4, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$120.00Jan 4, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $9.40Dec 15, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$115.20Dec 7, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: December$51.80Dec 7, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 47-48°F on November 27?$250.00Nov 29, 12:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $269.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 25, 12:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 12:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".