Short-Lawn
0xbdd31727b4154d75ff3810ab23459ef62916539d
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$13.19
Total PnL
$-23.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?
7 shares @ 92.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$6.51
$0.51
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 54.1¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.55
$-3.45
- NO
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.62
$-4.38
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.08
$-0.92
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
37 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.98
- NO
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$1.04May 4, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.03May 4, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.00Apr 13, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$5.10Mar 19, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$5.00Mar 18, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?$5.00Mar 18, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?$5.00Mar 18, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$5.00Mar 18, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$0.00Mar 18, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$5.00Mar 18, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$0.00Mar 18, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$1.11Mar 18, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$5.00Mar 18, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?$6.00Mar 18, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$1.00Mar 18, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 18, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$1.04Mar 18, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$1.00Mar 18, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 12:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $2.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 12:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 12:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.