Lone-Hardship
0xbde318eecd918c7c5e87f49272244ceb0016f2e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$38.53
Total PnL
$-192.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
33 shares @ 21.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$33.33
$26.33
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$5.19
$-4.81
- NO
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by October 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
141 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by October 31?
113 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla between September 25-27 ET?
93 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- SENATORS
Senators vs. Sabres
56 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-23?
44 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
42 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Death penalty" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?
30 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMIsrael strike on Yemen by September 22?$0.00Apr 24, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$0.00Apr 24, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fiorentina vs. Como end in a draw?$0.00Apr 24, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?$0.00Apr 24, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?$0.00Apr 24, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?$0.00Apr 24, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMShanghai Rolex Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Lorenzo Musetti$0.00Apr 24, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMUtah vs. Blackhawks$0.00Apr 24, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMOpenAI browser by October 31?$0.00Apr 24, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill France recognize Palestine in 2025?$0.00Apr 24, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by October 31?$23.81Apr 24, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLApple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?$72.02Oct 17, 10:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October meeting?$0.75Oct 17, 10:38 UTC
- TRADESELLTikTok sale announced in 2025?$9.65Oct 16, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLGaza mass population relocation in 2025?$2.12Oct 16, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by 2025?$1.50Oct 16, 10:09 UTC
- REDEEMDelaware Blue Hens vs. Jacksonville State$0.00Oct 16, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMUTEP vs. Sam Houston Bearkats$0.00Oct 16, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMDelaware Blue Hens vs. Jacksonville State$14.66Oct 16, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMUTEP vs. Sam Houston Bearkats$27.28Oct 16, 10:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $27.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 09:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".