SportsMulti-outcomeExpires May 30, 2026

Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?

Probability

64¢

+0.0pp

24h

-0.5pp

24h Vol

$86.51

Liquidity

$3.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

-1.5pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 19:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:49

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors

1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 822h with open resolution ambiguity.
2
Thin liquidity
Only $3.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 822.2h
LOW
17:49Signal
Resolution risk
Expires in 822h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW

Price movement

-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 64¢.

Biggest hourly move: -12.0pp at 2d ago (to 56¢).

Show all 54 hour-by-hour ticks

07:00 · -3.0pp → 64¢
05:00 · -3.5pp → 65¢
03:00 · -3.5pp → 65¢
02:00 · -4.0pp → 64¢
00:00 · -4.0pp → 64¢
22:00 · -4.5pp → 64¢
20:00 · -3.5pp → 65¢
18:00 · -4.0pp → 64¢
1d ago · -4.0pp → 64¢
1d ago · -4.0pp → 64¢
1d ago · -5.0pp → 63¢
1d ago · -5.0pp → 63¢
1d ago · -5.0pp → 63¢
1d ago · -6.5pp → 62¢
1d ago · -6.5pp → 62¢
1d ago · -7.0pp → 61¢
1d ago · -7.5pp → 61¢
2d ago · -7.0pp → 61¢
2d ago · -6.5pp → 61¢
2d ago · -7.0pp → 62¢
2d ago · -8.0pp → 61¢
2d ago · -12.0pp → 56¢
2d ago · -7.5pp → 61¢
2d ago · -6.5pp → 62¢
2d ago · -7.0pp → 61¢
2d ago · -7.5pp → 60¢
2d ago · -9.0pp → 60¢
2d ago · -8.5pp → 61¢
2d ago · -8.5pp → 61¢
2d ago · -4.5pp → 64¢
2d ago · -4.5pp → 64¢
2d ago · -4.5pp → 64¢
2d ago · -6.0pp → 64¢
2d ago · -6.5pp → 64¢
3d ago · -6.5pp → 63¢
3d ago · -8.5pp → 63¢
3d ago · -8.5pp → 63¢
3d ago · -8.5pp → 63¢
3d ago · -8.0pp → 63¢
3d ago · -7.5pp → 65¢
3d ago · -8.5pp → 65¢
3d ago · -9.0pp → 67¢
3d ago · -8.5pp → 68¢
3d ago · -8.5pp → 67¢
3d ago · -6.0pp → 68¢
3d ago · -9.0pp → 68¢
3d ago · -5.0pp → 68¢
3d ago · +3.0pp → 68¢
3d ago · +3.0pp → 68¢
3d ago · +3.5pp → 69¢
3d ago · +3.0pp → 69¢
4d ago · +3.0pp → 68¢
4d ago · +3.0pp → 68¢
4d ago · +3.0pp → 68¢

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventUEFA Champions League: Top Scorer

Category · Sports

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the top goalscorer of the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League. If multiple players tie for the most goals in the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League season, the market will resolve based on most assists, then most games played, and finally the player's last name alphabetically if ties persist. If a player's team is eliminated, and they are not in the goal lead, the market for that player may resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Champions League. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: May 30, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket