Watchful-Reclamation
0xbde40a4ff9ff8f1a5a8f2ace94c7d7de05d10b19
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$8.33
Total PnL
$-106.70
Realised
$-2.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12?
8 shares @ 24.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$8.33
$6.33
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
3750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 4?
1599 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 10?
706 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 10?
651 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 8?
122 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 6?
94 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C or higher on June 4?
72 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 10?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12?$2.08Jun 11, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Lukas Pokorny$5.13Jun 10, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 10?$5.23Jun 10, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 10?$5.25Jun 10, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 10?$5.25Jun 10, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 9?$5.23Jun 9, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 10?$5.25Jun 9, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 9?$5.20Jun 9, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 8?$5.17Jun 8, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 8?$5.22Jun 8, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 8?$5.24Jun 8, 06:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 6?$95.37Jun 7, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 6?$5.24Jun 6, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 6?$5.24Jun 6, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 4?$19.27Jun 5, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 4?$95.79Jun 5, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 5?$5.20Jun 5, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 5?$2.80Jun 4, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on June 5?$0.99Jun 4, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 4?$66.41Jun 4, 12:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $12.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 20:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 06:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.