Belated-Taro
0xbdf73aca780c7c965eda7213b6bfad74494765d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-73.18
Realised
$4.37
Win rate
80%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
995 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$940.25
$24.87
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?
98 shares @ 96.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$97.43
$2.75
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
109 shares @ 65.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$90.00
$19.09
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
76 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$76.00
$1.82
- NO
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?
74 shares @ 18.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$73.51
$59.91
- YES
Will Inter finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
47 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$47.33
$8.99
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
3 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.33
$2.43
- NO
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
4 shares @ 73.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$3.13
$0.43
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by December 31?
178 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-12.30
- NO
Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?
128 shares @ 61.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-78.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$94.68Feb 6, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$74.18Feb 6, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ashton Jeanty be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$68.91Feb 6, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$100.00Feb 6, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?$915.37Jan 21, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?$0.91Jan 21, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMJulie Masino out as Cracker Barrel CEO in 2025? $0.92Jan 21, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition$1.02Jan 21, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?$2.70Jan 21, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rabby launch a token in 2025?$19.54Jan 21, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ferrari finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?$22.04Jan 21, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ohio State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?$53.91Jan 21, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israeli troops enter Suwayda in 2025?$97.75Jan 21, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMTrump charges Member of January 6 committee? $100.00Jan 21, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?$616.59Jan 21, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?$199.32Nov 29, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the second best AI model on October 31?$0.50Nov 29, 19:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?$3.36Nov 29, 19:45 UTC
- REDEEMMonad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$190.58Nov 29, 19:45 UTC
- REDEEMNorth Korea missile launch by October 15?$0.00Oct 17, 00:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $75.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 2, 08:27 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 6, 11:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.