Strict-Rib
0xbe0bd69ba8600c9d637f175d8ee9c040fe5c06ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$876.08
Total PnL
$7.8K
Realised
$11.2K
Win rate
14%
7 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
4948 shares @ 22.2¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$865.94
$-234.05
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 18.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.14
$0.14
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
11574 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-359.99
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
11156 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-795.54
- YES
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?
7016 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-899.99
- FRANCE
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
1719 shares @ 58.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1449 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
516 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
135 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$104.65Jul 19, 21:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$5.00Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.0KJul 15, 16:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.50Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$5.33Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$1.0KJul 14, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$480.45Jul 14, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$513.94Jul 14, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.3KJul 14, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?$213.08Jul 14, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?$106.50Jul 14, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?$106.44Jul 14, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.0KJul 14, 08:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.63Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.65Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$1.0KJul 12, 01:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.63Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$207.82Jul 11, 07:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.56Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
14% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $696.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 10:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 21:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.