0xbe15e41bccca4f8cac8020b36e0f15b4a6a78a1f
0xbe15e41bccca4f8cac8020b36e0f15b4a6a78a1f
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
61
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$247.62
Realised
$77.37
Win rate
58%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
190 shares @ 66.8¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$158.68
$31.79
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
142 shares @ 73.8¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$140.89
$35.94
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
133 shares @ 10.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$133.05
$118.95
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
132 shares @ 29.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$132.34
$93.73
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
128 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$125.78
$2.00
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
78 shares @ 82.8¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$70.31
$6.02
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
45 shares @ 92.3¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.77
$1.01
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
45 shares @ 61.9¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.48
$12.46
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
21 shares @ 88.3¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.37
$1.40
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
21 shares @ 93.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.35
$1.19
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 26, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $14.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 22:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.