Ashamed-Outset
0xbe482cd6e5183be8767f03b48ebc3ff35769683f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$140.7K
Total PnL
$-59.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
136986 shares @ 73.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.7K
$685.07
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
24831 shares @ 80.5¢·now 83.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$20.6K
$609.65
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
24553 shares @ 81.5¢·now 78.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.4K
$-627.65
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
170933 shares @ 29.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-49.9K
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
18695 shares @ 53.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$20.0KJul 25, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$6.1KJul 25, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$5.6KJul 25, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$8.4KJul 25, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$100.0KJul 25, 12:20 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.44Jul 9, 21:14 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$6.52Jun 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$7.2KJun 19, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$1.3KJun 19, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$8.9KJun 19, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$126.2KJun 18, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.6KJun 15, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$30.0KJun 11, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$34.7KJun 8, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$25.2KMay 31, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$22.8KMay 31, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$23.3KMay 31, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$28.7KMay 31, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$28.9KMay 31, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.1KMay 31, 20:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$128.9K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
May 31, 21:00 UTC → May 31, 20:53 UTC
- BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$22.8K@82¢May 31, 20:53 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
limited
5 ledger trades
Top market concentration
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
$100.0K · 78% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $29.5K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 21:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 12:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.