Itchy-Diner
0xbe5a028f183f4ca7134e4924be9a5c99aa8c89d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-177.56
Realised
$-36.51
Win rate
10%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 12?
235 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.59
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 9?
198 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.78
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 8?
125 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.12
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 22?
90 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-6.51
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 17?
84 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.12
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 4?
60 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.97
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 16?
48 shares @ 27.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-13.25
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.30 on March 13?
47 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-13.19
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
45 shares @ 28.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-13.01
- UTAH STATE AGGIES
Utah State Aggies vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels
37 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-34.11
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 28?$48.23Jul 28, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 28?$46.30Jul 27, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 9?$1.90Jul 8, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 4?$2.10Jul 4, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 3?$56.04Jul 3, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 3?$54.47Jul 2, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 28?$47.97May 28, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 28?$45.09May 27, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 22?$6.93May 22, 01:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$48.54May 18, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$46.55May 18, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 17?$3.33May 16, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 12?$2.77May 12, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 9?$55.33May 9, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 9?$5.06May 8, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 9?$47.50May 8, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 8?$2.26May 7, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on March 15?$0.00May 2, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMArthur_0x mindshare all time high by March 31?$65.34Apr 25, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 18?$0.00Apr 18, 00:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
10% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $21.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 22:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 18:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.