Flustered-Peace
0xbe8b5f8e7ddefbf7f141eedb900af9a85e67517c
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
139
Open notional
$7.3K
Total PnL
$-5.0K
Realised
$-49.14
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 139- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10222 shares @ 17.8¢·now 18.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.9K
$67.07
- YES
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1271 shares @ 77.8¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$940.52
$-48.04
- YES
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1309 shares @ 76.2¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$936.28
$-61.72
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4504 shares @ 10.0¢·now 11.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$529.25
$79.65
- YES
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
603 shares @ 83.2¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$509.57
$7.57
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2454 shares @ 10.9¢·now 12.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$315.36
$48.09
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2122 shares @ 17.0¢·now 13.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$291.76
$-68.87
- YES
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
1023 shares @ 28.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$291.41
$5.01
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1027 shares @ 15.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$261.80
$107.80
- YES
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
1020 shares @ 33.4¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$250.00
$-91.24
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Ghana win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND Will England win on 2026-06-17?$1.5KJun 18, 04:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jun 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.23Jun 17, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.0KJun 17, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? AND Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?$26.75Jun 17, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.35Jun 17, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$23.08Jun 17, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND Will England win on 2026-06-17?$285.78Jun 17, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$287.80Jun 17, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 DR Congo?$89.70Jun 17, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 DR Congo?$102.61Jun 17, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$308.04Jun 17, 06:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.19Jun 17, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$200.59Jun 17, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13.83Jun 17, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.55Jun 17, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.01Jun 17, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.00Jun 17, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.32Jun 17, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$259.53Jun 17, 06:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $194.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 23:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 04:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.