Celebrated-Thunderstorm
0xbe8efc3989acdb41fccc33051ece08de64bdb973
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$98.44
Total PnL
$-5.2K
Realised
$0.72
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
81 shares @ 74.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$66.89
$6.89
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
51 shares @ 59.1¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$30.71
$0.71
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 3AM ET
1305 shares @ 38.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-505.34
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4AM ET
1216 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2025$0.00
$-334.07
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 2AM ET
918 shares @ 32.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-301.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10AM ET
902 shares @ 44.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-398.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3AM ET
684 shares @ 45.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-308.89
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 16, 11AM ET
671 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-139.82
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 8AM ET
640 shares @ 68.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2025$0.00
$-436.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$30.37Jun 14, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$60.47Jun 14, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.03Jun 14, 11:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?$624.14Feb 2, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?$1.1KJan 30, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?$609.15Jan 9, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?$1000.00Jan 9, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 5?$109.92Jan 8, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 5?$107.94Jan 4, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 4?$107.78Jan 4, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 4?$26.00Jan 3, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 4?$74.32Jan 3, 16:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sentient launch a token in 2025?$10.53Jan 3, 16:57 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 10AM ET$63.42Dec 12, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 10AM ET$4.00Nov 25, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 10AM ET$3.86Nov 25, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 10AM ET$2.92Nov 25, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 10AM ET$4.16Nov 25, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 10AM ET$4.11Nov 25, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 25, 10AM ET$1.98Nov 25, 15:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $104.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 25, 07:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 11:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.