Funny-Congress
0xbe9d6673c11774da4a424892723fb72ad086a3c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-625.50
Realised
$-28.70
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
2749 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-39.80
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?
408 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-261.00
- YES
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
223 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.80
- NO
Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during NewsNation interview?
222 shares @ 31.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- NO
Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
154 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "Erdogan" during Syria President events on November 10?
86 shares @ 31.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-27.00
- YES
Will Hillary say "President" 5+ times during her Epstein testimony?
50 shares @ 24.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-12.20
- NO
Will Trump say "Biden" 6+ times in Corpus Christi on Friday?
45 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Maduro out in 2025?
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump say "India" during the State of the Union address?
43 shares @ 29.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-12.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.08Jun 28, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.17Jun 22, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.17Jun 22, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.21Jun 20, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.25Jun 20, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17.40Jun 19, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17.38Jun 19, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.35Jun 18, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Slovenia win on 2026-06-04?$25.74Jun 4, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win on 2026-06-03?$25.91Jun 3, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win on 2026-06-03?$17.53Jun 3, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria win on 2026-06-01?$17.42Jun 2, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-01?$11.62Jun 1, 11:27 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$11.64Jun 1, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$16.86May 28, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?$16.94May 22, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?$9.95May 20, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Venezuela" at The Villages on May 1?$13.26May 1, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" during King Charles visit?$10.00Apr 27, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win on 2026-03-31?$11.00Mar 31, 15:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $25.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 16:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 08:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.