Dense-Whip
0xbea0922d263ae8ee61faae1fa642915691aae19d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$5.3K
Total PnL
$515.50
Realised
$512.33
Win rate
96%
82 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by less than 4%?
526 shares @ 63.5¢·now 75.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$394.39
$60.26
- NO
Will Lyft (LYFT) Q2 rides be above 265M?
500 shares @ 65.5¢·now 72.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$359.81
$32.40
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
450 shares @ 73.2¢·now 71.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$321.76
$-7.76
- NO
Will Texas have the closest Governor's race in 2026?
185 shares @ 73.6¢·now 91.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$168.87
$32.31
- NO
Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?
215 shares @ 53.4¢·now 60.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$130.75
$15.98
- NO
Will Waymo launch in New York, NY by December 31 2026?
169 shares @ 54.3¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$120.83
$29.09
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat?
218 shares @ 47.8¢·now 53.5¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$116.48
$12.51
- YES
Will Mitchell Berman be the WI-01 Democratic nominee?
100 shares @ 71.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$86.50
$15.50
- NO
Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by December 31, 2026?
146 shares @ 56.2¢·now 58.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$85.59
$3.31
- NO
Will Zac Rossi advance to the general election for WA-04?
83 shares @ 91.0¢·now 98.1¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$81.17
$5.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny be the third most streamed artist for 2026?$0.16Jul 29, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belinda Keiser be the FL-22 Republican nominee?$18.05Jul 29, 01:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belinda Keiser be the FL-22 Republican nominee?$12.00Jul 29, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belinda Keiser be the FL-22 Republican nominee?$2.05Jul 29, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belinda Keiser be the FL-22 Republican nominee?$4.60Jul 29, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belinda Keiser be the FL-22 Republican nominee?$4.85Jul 29, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTom Holland as Spider-Man?$0.03Jul 29, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "No No No" this week?$9.80Jul 29, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?$22.68Jul 29, 00:47 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.56Jul 29, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?$32.29Jul 29, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?$0.68Jul 29, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?$1.06Jul 29, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?$2.78Jul 29, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?$2.51Jul 29, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?$5.27Jul 29, 00:09 UTC
- REWARD$23.84Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Pascal win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?$0.06Jul 28, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?$3.46Jul 28, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?$3.31Jul 28, 23:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
77/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
96% win rate over 82 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
82 closed markets, 96% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $6.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 19:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 01:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 82 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.