Negative-Albatross
0xbeaaf089ada0db2ed5d0e6f6b75db58375f6fbb4
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$330.89
Total PnL
$-2.18
Realised
$-0.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
330 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$329.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-09 House seat?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.05
$-0.01
- NO
Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
2 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$330.01Jun 26, 08:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 27, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$131.04Mar 26, 05:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 26, 00:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 24, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$130.00Mar 23, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$128.70Mar 23, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$130.00Mar 23, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the WA-09 House seat?$1.00Jan 29, 06:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the WA-09 House seat?$0.16Jan 29, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the WA-09 House seat?$1.00Jan 29, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jaylen McCollough lead the NFL in interceptions this season?$1.01Jan 29, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: MIBR Female vs Ninetails (BO3)$1.23Jan 29, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?$1.47Jan 29, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$3.24Jan 29, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arch Manning win the Heisman Trophy?$3.74Jan 29, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: MIBR Female vs Ninetails (BO3)$1.00Nov 24, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?$1.00Nov 15, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?$2.00Nov 15, 06:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $48.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 11, 09:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 08:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.