Self-Reliant-Employee
0xbeb49c9abf50673d977b25ad4c4b2994a821f05a
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$190.66
Total PnL
$-12.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Trump out as President by July 31?
185 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$184.65
$0.65
- NO
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
6 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.15 in October?
11 shares @ 99.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
8 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon SBF by July 31?$6.00Jul 20, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by July 31?$184.04Jul 9, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$213.43Jul 1, 06:25 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out by June 30?$161.62Jul 1, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$134.38Jul 1, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be greater than $110 on June 11?$155.16Jun 11, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$213.03Jun 9, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be greater than $110 on June 11?$155.01Jun 9, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$252.02May 29, 23:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$240.72May 22, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$240.05May 22, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$44.73May 22, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 21?$210.42May 21, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out by June 30?$160.00May 18, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 21?$210.03May 18, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$52.00May 18, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei post 55-59 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$144.14May 15, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by June 30?$235.71May 13, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$250.08May 11, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$235.03May 11, 10:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $145.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 12:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 11:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.