Orderly-Splendor
0xbebe2d12731d4e395a4abdc6c2e7c654d79e15d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$37.32
Total PnL
$-108.34
Realised
$0.39
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 31?
76 shares @ 48.7¢·now 49.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$37.29
$0.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 30?
41 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.02
$-17.98
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 29?
37 shares @ 49.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.02
$-18.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11PM ET
47 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-6.57
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
41 shares @ 90.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-37.22
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
11 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on March 27?
8 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 31?$37.99May 30, 05:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 30?$38.04May 30, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 30?$18.50May 29, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 30?$19.48May 29, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 29?$38.02May 29, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 29?$18.23May 28, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 29?$18.97May 28, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 4?$1.91May 4, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on May 4?$1.47May 4, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 4?$1.05May 4, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 5?$1.51May 4, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 5?$1.70May 4, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 4?$1.71May 4, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 4?$1.48May 3, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be 76°F or higher on May 3?$1.49May 3, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 76°F or higher on May 3?$1.30May 2, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 2?$1.30May 2, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$4.58May 1, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 2?$1.03May 1, 01:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on April 30?$2.71Apr 30, 12:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $7.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 08:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 05:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".