Acrobatic-Pannier
0xbf12762b6a6018c196865cea06f9ca7fdf36f9d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$40.36
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$360.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
404 shares @ 24.8¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.36
$-59.64
- YES
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
4000 shares @ 23.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-928.53
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
3846 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?
1000 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-290.00
- YES
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
791 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-48.92
- YES
Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?
714 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
509 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-49.89
- NO
Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?
486 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?
426 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-246.81
- NO
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?
280 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?$558.12Apr 15, 04:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$342.47Apr 9, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?$21.59Apr 5, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?$0.00Apr 5, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?$1.2KApr 5, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$250.00Apr 5, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$271.00Apr 5, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?$19.00Apr 2, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?$50.00Apr 1, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?$100.00Apr 1, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?$220.02Apr 1, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?$4.60Apr 1, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?$4.60Apr 1, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?$3.00Apr 1, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?$52.08Apr 1, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?$30.69Apr 1, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?$0.99Apr 1, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?$138.00Apr 1, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?$46.00Apr 1, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?$93.35Apr 1, 20:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $204.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 18:40 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 04:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.