Important-Sturgeon
0xbf296349a11353834e7e542dbe3c4fbe24dbe362
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$603.88
Total PnL
$-156.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$362.50
$112.50
- NO
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$137.50
$-112.50
- NO
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
417 shares @ 24.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$102.08
$2.08
- YES
Will Norway score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
59 shares @ 8.5¢·now 3.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$1.80
$-3.20
- YES
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
12 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup: Unbeaten Champion?$102.28May 26, 09:17 UTC
- SPLITWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$500.00May 26, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.18May 19, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$5.09May 19, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$862.09May 16, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$837.95Feb 26, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$12.34Feb 26, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$825.61Feb 23, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$823.90Feb 13, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-07?$9.30Feb 13, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-07?$8.00Feb 3, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$787.75Feb 3, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?$34.84Feb 3, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?$21.65Jan 24, 11:58 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$21.66Jan 19, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$273.23Jan 14, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$273.23Jan 14, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$750.00Jan 2, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$70.51Dec 29, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$87.38Dec 29, 09:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $235.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 18:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 09:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.