Inconsequential-Marble
0xbf40db946351014aa04989505c64881413f09e76
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$221.57
Total PnL
$-246.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
60 shares @ 82.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$59.85
$10.65
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
56 shares @ 66.9¢·now 73.5¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$40.95
$3.67
- YES
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao?
230 shares @ 13.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$34.50
$4.60
- YES
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?
94 shares @ 9.4¢·now 27.4¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$25.63
$16.82
- YES
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
44 shares @ 82.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$22.98
$-12.91
- YES
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
47 shares @ 54.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$15.97
$-9.40
- YES
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
500 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$8.75
$-6.25
- YES
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?
90 shares @ 6.1¢·now 5.5¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$4.95
$-0.53
- YES
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
150 shares @ 7.2¢·now 3.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$4.88
$-5.92
- YES
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers?
22 shares @ 6.0¢·now 8.6¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$1.87
$0.56
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.86Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao?$29.90Jun 11, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$14.87Jun 4, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$0.99Jun 3, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$0.60Jun 3, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$13.05Jun 3, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$0.11Jun 3, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar$137.00May 29, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublev$109.99May 29, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar$110.97May 29, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublev$57.65May 29, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublev$21.54May 29, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open?$8.62May 28, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open?$69.97May 28, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Adrien Thomasson lead Ligue 1 in assists during the 2025-26 season?$428.36May 28, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26?$2.55May 26, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26?$2.55May 26, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26?$5.10May 26, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26?$5.10May 26, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26?$5.10May 26, 18:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $33.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 22:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.