Intentional-Cane
0xbf4f0b7f5d23ea44f6eb8b07182cb17422daa000
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.70
Total PnL
$-727.10
Realised
$-93.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
179 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.70
$-98.30
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
3750 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will BNB reach $1200 in January?
1667 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
833 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
476 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
438 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
333 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?
139 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$153.52May 8, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$100.00Apr 4, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$100.00Apr 2, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$100.00Mar 30, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$100.00Mar 1, 01:22 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$294.12Mar 1, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$104.66Feb 3, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?$15.00Jan 11, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by March 31?$100.00Jan 10, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?$50.00Jan 7, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$100.00Jan 7, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB reach $1200 in January?$40.00Jan 3, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?$100.00Jan 3, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$100.00Jan 3, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$30.00Jan 3, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$4.20Jan 3, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$98.00Dec 29, 22:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $79.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 22:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 18:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.