0xbf59e01d92a6268a25d9fac85dd5cecb8c77f2b8
0xbf59e01d92a6268a25d9fac85dd5cecb8c77f2b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$378.87
Total PnL
$-8.75
Realised
$2.22
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award?
87 shares @ 91.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Nov 13, 2026$84.83
$5.66
- NO
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?
96 shares @ 83.2¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$79.06
$-1.18
- NO
Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award?
72 shares @ 88.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Nov 13, 2026$58.28
$-5.43
- NO
Will Sam Darnold win the 2026 NFL MVP?
31 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.6¢·exp Feb 15, 2027$29.33
$-0.12
- YES
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
29 shares @ 82.8¢·now 83.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$24.07
$0.07
- UP
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
26 shares @ 79.1¢·now 90.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$23.40
$2.84
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
87 shares @ 30.9¢·now 24.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.88
$-5.99
- YES
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
32 shares @ 47.4¢·now 50.5¢·exp Oct 24, 2027$16.16
$0.98
- YES
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
94 shares @ 16.1¢·now 11.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.62
$-4.55
- YES
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
17 shares @ 47.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.54
$-1.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.66Jun 1, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Kerry be arrested before 2027?$2.78Jun 1, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.68May 30, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Clapper be arrested before 2027?$1.08May 30, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?$1.06May 30, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$1.02May 30, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?$3.22May 29, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Darnold win the 2026 NFL MVP?$10.47May 27, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$2.00May 27, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?$1.64May 27, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.95May 26, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$1.53May 26, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$100.79May 26, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$1.02May 26, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Darnold win the 2026 NFL MVP?$19.03May 26, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?$2.73May 26, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Daylen Lile hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?$1.02May 26, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Juan Soto win the 2026 National League MVP Award?$0.99May 26, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$2.45May 24, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$0.54May 24, 22:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 14:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 17:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.