Scornful-Restructuring
0xbf693dcdd58d631febfbdf0e10082e34f6fddead
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$7.09
Total PnL
$-9.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
2 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.20
$0.03
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
2 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.08
$0.04
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.67
$0.57
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$1.14
$0.00
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-2.03
- YES
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?
4 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.66
- NO
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
3 shares @ 56.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.64
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 5AM ET
3 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.36
- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of November 10 above $270?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.34
- NO
Will Lainey Wilson win Entertainer of the Year at the 59th annual CMA Awards?
2 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$2.17May 30, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.02May 9, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.02May 9, 01:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$1.02Apr 28, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?$1.14Apr 28, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill India join the Board of Peace?$1.07Apr 14, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$1.21Apr 14, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMKristi Noem out as Secretary of Homeland Security by December 31?$1.41Apr 14, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$1.02Apr 14, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India join the Board of Peace?$1.07Mar 30, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$1.21Mar 28, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYKristi Noem out as Secretary of Homeland Security by December 31?$1.41Dec 30, 01:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.32Dec 10, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.19Dec 10, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.51Dec 10, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.05Dec 10, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$12.98Dec 10, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$14.03Dec 10, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.91Dec 9, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.20Dec 9, 02:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $6.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 07:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 00:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".