Minor-Spud
0xbf730ad961f04733a000aea46f50abf6b7235545
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-457.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?
714 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-135.00
- YES
Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?
399 shares @ 31.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-124.00
- YES
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
359 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025?
185 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025?
182 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on October 31?
139 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?
109 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
80 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?
73 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- DOWN
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 28?
65 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$58.82Jul 20, 01:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $31.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 31, 12:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.