Rosy-Formal
0xbf7b4a5b7002706e1b7ccd57ebd6bdd740d6e216
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$16.86
Total PnL
$-321.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?
12 shares @ 83.9¢·now 83.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$9.89
$-0.11
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.03
$0.03
- NO
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by July 31?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
1 shares @ 95.6¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?
1 shares @ 96.5¢·now 94.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Sep 24, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
129 shares @ 77.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will “The Jensen Jacket: Jensen Huang's Tom Ford Leather Jacket” sell for at least $90k at auction?
115 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
60 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will England win on 2026-07-15?
44 shares @ 56.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?$10.08Jul 28, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMYeremi Pino: 1+ goals$1.01Jul 19, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.67Jul 19, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$17.64Jul 19, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$10.04Jul 19, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$5.02Jul 19, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$1.01Jul 19, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYLamine Yamal: 1+ assists$1.04Jul 19, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?$8.13Jul 19, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jul 19, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.69Jul 18, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$3.85Jul 18, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs$1.00Jul 18, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill “The Jensen Jacket: Jensen Huang's Tom Ford Leather Jacket” sell for at least $85k at auction?$3.01Jul 17, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill “The Jensen Jacket: Jensen Huang's Tom Ford Leather Jacket” sell for at least $80k at auction?$5.01Jul 17, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi win the Silver Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.07Jul 17, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?$1.04Jul 17, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill “The Jensen Jacket: Jensen Huang's Tom Ford Leather Jacket” sell for at least $80k at auction?$3.00Jul 17, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill “The Jensen Jacket: Jensen Huang's Tom Ford Leather Jacket” sell for at least $85k at auction?$1.05Jul 17, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill “The Jensen Jacket: Jensen Huang's Tom Ford Leather Jacket” sell for at least $85k at auction?$3.00Jul 17, 18:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 21:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 13:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.