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0xbf8d2192f319af779e87899b847017096bc7c93a
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.8K
Realised
$18.1K
Win rate
78%
132 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
12307 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-189.11
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
12254 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-234.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
11854 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-330.44
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
10000 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
7275 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-149.25
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
7270 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-146.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
1845 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-199.14
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
1650 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
810 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-82.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
712 shares @ 39.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-279.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$0.00Jul 22, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$2.65Jul 22, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$2.05Jul 22, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$2.83Jul 22, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$3.41Jul 22, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$3.37Jul 22, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$2.41Jul 22, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$3.35Jul 22, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$3.96Jul 22, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$2.24Jul 22, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$2.33Jul 22, 21:50 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$17.10Jul 22, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$3.47Jul 22, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$2.18Jul 22, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$2.21Jul 22, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$2.53Jul 22, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$1.72Jul 22, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$3.71Jul 22, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$36.46Jul 22, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$2.10Jul 22, 20:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
81/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
78% win rate over 132 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
132 closed markets, 78% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 20:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 21:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 132 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.