Whopping-Vegetable
0xbf9fa9309ee8cbf38c478643a223263cadb458ba
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
64
Open notional
$0.36
Total PnL
$-94.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- YES
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
3 shares @ 75.5¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.36
$-1.64
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
105 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
18 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
18 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6AM ET
17 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
13 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$1.70Jul 20, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5$3.46Jul 20, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5$30.87Jul 19, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals + assists AND Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals + assists AND Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$0.99Jul 19, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5$2.04Jul 19, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5$1.03Jul 19, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain to score first vs. Argentina?$5.12Jul 19, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$10.22Jul 19, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5$1.03Jul 19, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$1.02Jul 19, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half AND Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First Half$0.99Jul 19, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals + assists AND Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals + assists AND Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$0.99Jul 19, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.26Jul 19, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$1.18Jul 19, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.03Jul 19, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?$1.20Jul 19, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$1.27Jul 19, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.61Jul 19, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.79Jul 19, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 400.0k by May 31?$1.04Jun 4, 08:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $2.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 15:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 19:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.