Spirited-Weird
0xbfc1ad1049c0b71e96268ff0b55d696aa2c273d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$4.3K
Total PnL
$-998.67
Realised
$-382.16
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
8000 shares @ 24.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.3K
$2.4K
- NO
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?
33 shares @ 28.2¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$19.36
$10.01
- YES
Will Dean Phillips win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
54441 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-99.46
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
7692 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
3001 shares @ 29.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-896.02
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2000 shares @ 44.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-894.12
- YES
Will Klaas Dijkhoff become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
1479 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.40
- YES
Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
1466 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2024$0.00
$-115.44
- YES
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1243 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-18.64
- YES
Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
1206 shares @ 29.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-361.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$2.0KApr 28, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?$2.35Jan 26, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?$7.00Jan 26, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?$222.63Dec 4, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?$637.01Dec 4, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$518.89Dec 4, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?$100.94Nov 29, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?$84.00Nov 29, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?$345.94Nov 29, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?$10.00Nov 10, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$50.00Nov 4, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?$573.92Nov 4, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$50.00Nov 4, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$9.51Nov 4, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be another combination?$70.61Nov 4, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?$755.52Oct 31, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO in 2025?$700.95Oct 31, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO in 2025?$28.01Oct 31, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?$218.29Oct 31, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be another combination?$33.18Oct 31, 19:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $159.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 14, 21:53 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 19:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".