Creamy-Plea
0xbfdc4c5d68a7e0a2ae75cda373041e6ac93b5c08
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$1.19
Total PnL
$-7.78
Realised
$-0.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
2 shares @ 73.0¢·now 68.3¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.19
$-0.08
- YES
Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
4 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: January
3 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the Baltimore Ravens be the first team to reach 50 total points scored?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$99.89May 2, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?$90.52May 2, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?$90.02Apr 29, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?$89.35Apr 29, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?$90.02Apr 29, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$100.01Apr 29, 08:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 7, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$288.12Apr 6, 10:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$116.76Apr 6, 10:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 6, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 5, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$117.00Apr 4, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$289.00Apr 4, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$217.29Feb 18, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$216.00Feb 16, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$214.27Feb 16, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$216.00Feb 16, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$1.00Feb 7, 06:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$0.55Feb 7, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$1.00Feb 7, 06:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $65.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 10:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 04:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".