Colorless-Civilisation
0xc01ccdb373c2f1e0ef621abbb95b24ef08a10f0f
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.70
Total PnL
$-66.91
Realised
$1.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?
201 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.70
$-11.64
- NO
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
100 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
50 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
44 shares @ 48.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-21.01
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
23 shares @ 61.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 96.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.63
- YES
Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?
10 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
4 shares @ 53.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?$12.80Jul 6, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$5.00Jul 6, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?$3.24May 29, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 20, 2026?$1.08May 29, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$0.00May 15, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.02May 13, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.02May 13, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.14May 13, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.02May 13, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.02May 13, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.02May 13, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.02May 13, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.02May 13, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.02May 13, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.02May 13, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.02May 13, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.02May 13, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.02May 13, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.02May 13, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.02May 13, 09:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 07:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 09:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.